Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.036570 4.659602 5.346462 6.159858 7.096931 8.142841 9.399199
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.055805 3.834940 4.766991 5.964210 7.461923 9.274825 11.638178
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.523020 3.405774 4.539711 6.103301 8.205080 10.935570 14.758525
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.041491 2.941573 4.173802 5.984300 8.579603 12.171377 17.532070
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.820444 2.782547 4.177760 6.348927 9.647613 14.481493 22.125420
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.609461 2.596251 4.104472 6.577878 10.540641 16.658702 26.857752
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.395149 2.364988 3.920744 6.598335 11.103057 18.399916 31.169864
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.156878 2.053455 3.557667 6.265206 11.031566 19.103842 33.882555
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.064139 1.971772 3.559629 6.539853 12.013030 21.675721 40.127000
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.012825 1.954018 3.666626 7.009916 13.398917 25.127542 48.427882
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.928799 1.861633 3.623303 7.192650 14.274906 27.764855 55.586015
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.839590 1.744956 3.516167 7.233851 14.878493 29.958812 62.185059
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.726932 1.568137 3.274557 6.988584 14.910891 31.111398 67.018716
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.626026 1.399950 3.025824 6.690830 14.790483 31.939429 71.313931
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.574323 1.329784 2.971474 6.799703 15.554719 34.724225 80.264792
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.507923 1.216255 2.806686 6.638922 15.697973 36.187446 86.495380
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.488501 1.208350 2.876467 7.025118 17.150553 40.780784 100.677181
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.460682 1.175917 2.884744 7.266836 18.297927 44.834139 114.201614
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.422085 1.110720 2.805427 7.282302 18.894907 47.662937 125.145186
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.367145 0.995158 2.585740 6.910506 18.459899 47.899297 129.524261
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.352077 0.982103 2.622891 7.210770 19.813696 52.839811 147.023897
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.347557 0.996932 2.734570 7.727283 21.824039 59.771852 170.995047
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.329145 0.970152 2.731306 7.927609 22.997073 64.640750 189.997071